BMI remains positive on the outlook for new vehicle sales in Mozambique. We forecast total sales to reach nearly 35,500 units in 2018, almost double the levels seen in 2012. Commercial vehicle (CV) sales will continue to account for the lion's share of new vehicle sales. We expect passenger car sales to increase at a faster rate over the coming five years. This will see the percentage split between CV and passenger car sales move from 72:28 in 2013, towards 65:35 by 2017.

BMI Industry View 7

SWOT 9

Political 9

Economic 11

Business Environment 12

Industry Forecast 14

      Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2012-2018 14

Sales 14

Production 17

Macroeconomic Forecast 19

Economic Analysis 19

      Table: GDP By Expenditure (Mozambique 2011-2018) 23

Industry Risk Reward Ratings 24

      Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Autos Risk and Reward Ratings 27

Competitive Landscape 28

Regulations 28

Company Profile 30

Company Monitor 30

Regional Overview 33

Autos Investment Round-Up: Export Potential Keeps Majors In South Africa 33

      Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Production Investments 33

Global Industry Overview 35

      Table: Passenger Car Sales May 2014 (CBUs) 35

Outperformers Boost European Outlook 35

Trucks Give North America A Lift 36

India Brings Relief To BRICs 38

Demographic Forecast 40

      Table: Mozambique's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 41

      Table: Mozambique's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 42

      Table: Mozambique's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 43

      Table: Mozambique's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 43

Methodology 44

Industry Forecasts 44

Sector-Specific Methodology 45

Sources 45

Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 46

      Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators 47

冶金工业信息标准研究院