We forecast the passenger car segment to continue outperforming the commercial vehicle (CV) segment in 2014. Despite that, we expect a slight slowing in car sales growth to 8.5% in 2014. Auto sector growth will rebound to previous levels in 2015, with a 9.6% rise.

BMI Industry View 7

SWOT 9

Political 10

Economic 12

Business Environment 14

Industry Forecast 15

      Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts, 2012-2018 15

Sales 15

Production 17

Passenger Cars 23

Production 23

      Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts, 2012-2018 25

Sales 25

Company Developments 27

Commercial Vehicles 34

      Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts, 2012-2018 34

Motorcycles 37

Long-Term Forecasts 38

      Table: Motorcycle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts, 2012-2018 38

      Table: Sales Of Top Three Motorbike Manufacturers 39

Suppliers 40

Macroeconomic Forecast 48

      Table: Indonesia - Economic Activity 51

Industry Risk Reward Ratings 52

Asia - Risk/Reward Ratings 52

      Table: BMI Industry Risk/Reward Ratings - Asia-Pacific Autos 55

Company Profile 56

Company Monitor 56

Toyota Astra Motor 59

Suzuki Indomobil Motor 60

Regional Overview 61

      Table: Vehicle Sales June 2014 (CBUS) 61

Global Industry Overview 67

      Table: Passenger Car Sales May 2014 (CBUs) 67

Outperformers Boost European Outlook 67

Trucks Give North America A Lift 68

India Brings Relief To BRICs 70

Demographic Forecast 72

      Table: Indonesia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 73

      Table: Indonesia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 74

      Table: Indonesia's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 75

      Table: Indonesia's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 75

Methodology 76

Industry Forecasts 76

Sector-Specific Methodology 77

Sources 77

Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 78

      Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators 79

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