As a result of a data released from the Kenyan Bureau of Statistics BMI has slightly downgraded its GDP forecast for 2014 to 5.0%, down from 5.7%. Even this slower acceleration will still be a significant improvement compared to the low growth seen between 2008 and 2012, when annual real GDP expansion averaged just 3.8%.

BMI Industry View 7

SWOT 9

Political 9

Economic 10

Business Environment 11

Industry Forecast 13

      Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Kenya 2012-2018) 13

      Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Kenya 2012-2018) 13

      Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Kenya 2012-2018) 14

      Table: Motorcycle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Kenya 2012-2018) 14

      Table: Growing Opportunities 16

Macroeconomic Forecasts 19

      Table: Kenya - GDP By Expenditure 26

Industry Risk Reward Ratings 27

      Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Autos Risk and Reward Ratings 30

Competitive Landscape 31

Company Profile 37

Company Monitor 37

Regional Overview 40

Autos Investment Round-Up: Export Potential Keeps Majors In South Africa 40

      Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Production Investments 40

Global Industry Overview 42

Global Overview 42

      Table: Passenger Car Sales May 2014 (CBUs) 42

Outperformers Boost European Outlook 42

Trucks Give North America A Lift 43

India Brings Relief To BRICs 45

Demographic Forecast 47

      Table: Kenya's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 48

      Table: Kenya's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 49

      Table: Kenya's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 50

      Table: Kenya's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 50

Methodology 51

Industry Forecasts 51

Sector-Specific Methodology 52

Sources 52

Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 53

      Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators 54

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