The outlook for the autos industry in the Central Americas region in 2014 is modest, with tepid sales growth expected in some markets, but contractions likely in others. This is broadly in line with our outlook for the Latin America region, although many markets in Central America are very small in volumes terms, and modest changes in sales figures could have a relatively large impact on the year-on-year (y-o-y) growth rate.

BMI Industry View 7

SWOT 8

Industry Forecast 9

Guatemala Industry Forecast 9

      Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Guatemala 2012-2018) 9

Passenger Cars 10

      Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Guatemala 2012-2018) 11

Commercial Vehicles 11

      Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Guatemala 2012-2018) 11

Motorcycles 12

      Table: Motorcycle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Guatemala 2012-2018) 12

Costa Rica Industry Forecast 12

Passenger Cars 13

      Table: Passenger Car Market (Costa Rica 2004-2011) 13

Commercial Vehicles 14

      Table: Commercial Vehicle Fleet (Costa Rica 2004-2011) 14

Motorcycles 15

      Table: Motorcycle Market (Costa Rica 2004-2011) 15

Honduras Industry Forecast 16

      Table: Autos Total Market (Honduras 2009-2013) 17

Passenger Cars 17

      Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Honduras 2009-2013) 17

Commercial Vehicles 18

      Table: Commercial Vehicle Fleet (Honduras 2009-2013) 18

Motorcycles 18

      Table: Motorcycle Market (Honduras 2009-2013) 18

El Salvador Industry Forecast 19

      Table: Autos Total Market (El Salvador 2010-2012) 21

Passenger Cars 21

      Table: Passenger Car Market (El Salvador 2010-2012) 21

Commercial Vehicles 21

      Table: Commercial Vehicle Fleet (El Salvador 2010-2012) 21

Motorbikes 22

      Table: Motorcycle Market (El Salvador 2010-2012) 22

Panama Industry Forecast 23

      Table: Autos Total Market (Panama 2007-2012) 24

Passenger Cars 24

      Table: Passenger Car Market (Panama 2007-2012) 24

Commercial Vehicles 25

      Table: Commercial Vehicle Fleet (Panama 2007-2012) 25

Motorcycles 25

      Table: Motorcycle Market (Panama 2007-2012) 25

Nicaragua Industry Forecast 26

      Table: Autos Total Market (Nicaragua 2006-2011) 27

Passenger Cars 28

      Table: Passenger Car Market (Nicaragua 2006-2011) 28

Commercial Vehicles 28

      Table: Commercial Vehicle Fleet (Nicaragua 2006-2011) 28

Motorcycles 29

      Table: Motorcycle Market (Nicaragua 2006-2011) 29

Industry Risk Reward Ratings 31

Latin America - Risk/Reward Ratings 31

      Table: Americas Risk/Reward Ratings 34

Company Profile 35

Company Monitor 35

Regional Overview 38

Latin America Overview 38

      Table: Argentina - Sources Of Autos Financing 39

Global Industry Overview 46

      Table: Passenger Car Sales May 2014 (CBUs) 46

Outperformers Boost European Outlook 46

Trucks Give North America A Lift 47

India Brings Relief To BRICs 49

Demographic Forecast 51

Costa Rica 51

      Table: Costa Rica's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 52

      Table: Costa Rica's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 53

      Table: Costa Rica's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 54

      Table: Costa Rica's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 54

El Salvador 55

      Table: El Salvador's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 56

      Table: El Salvador's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 57

      Table: El Salvador's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 58

      Table: El Salvador's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 58

Guatemala 59

      Table: Guatemala's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 60

      Table: Guatemala's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 61

      Table: Guatemala's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 62

      Table: Guatemala's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 62

Honduras 63

      Table: Honduras' Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 64

      Table: Honduras' Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 65

      Table: Honduras' Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 66

      Table: Honduras' Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 66

Nicaragua 67

      Table: Nicaragua's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 68

      Table: Nicaragua's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 69

      Table: Nicaragua's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 70

      Table: Nicaragua's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 70

Panama 71

      Table: Panama's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 72

      Table: Panama's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 73

      Table: Panama's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 74

      Table: Panama's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 74

Methodology 75

Industry Forecasts 75

Sector-Specific Methodology 76

Sources 76

Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 77

      Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators 78

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