2014, we forecast a 0.9% drop in vehicle sales. This comes from a 1% forecasted decline inthe passenger car segment and 0.3% fall in commercial vehicle (CV) sales.
We expected pent-up demand following several years of decline and low base effects from 2013 to boost the market over the course of the year. However, the country's weak consumer story is limiting purchases more than we previously envisaged, and we believe this will continue to weigh on car sales in the coming months. Accordingly, we now forecast a drop of 1%.

BMI Industry View 7

SWOT 8

Political 9

Economic 10

Business Environment 11

Industry Forecast 12

Production, Sales And Trade 12

      Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (2012-2018) 12

Sales 13

Production 13

Passenger Vehicles 15

      Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (2012-2018) 15

Sales 15

Production 17

Latest News 18

Commercial Vehicles 23

      Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (2012-2018) 23

Sales 23

      Table: Light Commercial Vehicle Sales By Brand 24

      Table: Heavy Truck Sales By Brand 24

Production 25

News 26

Motorcycles 27

      Table: Motorcycle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (2012-2018) 27

Suppliers 27

Macroeconomic Forecasts 29

Macro Outlook 29

Real GDP By Expenditure Breakdown 30

Risks To Outlook 33

      Table: France - Economic Activity 34

Industry Risk Reward Ratings 35

Europe - Risk/Reward Ratings 35

      Table: Europe Autos Risk/Reward Ratings 38

Company Profile 40

Porsche 40

PSA Peugeot Citroen 43

Renault 45

Regional Overview 48

Europe Overview 48

Global Industry Overview 50

      Table: Passenger Car Sales May 2014 (CBUs) 50

Outperformers Boost European Outlook 50

Trucks Give North America A Lift 51

India Brings Relief To BRICs 53

Demographic Forecast 55

      Table: France's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 56

      Table: France's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 57

      Table: France's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 58

      Table: France's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 58

Methodology 59

Industry Forecasts 59

Sector-Specific Methodology 60

Sources 60

Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 61

      Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators 62

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