Heightened political and macroeconomic risks are the main factors behind our poor outlook for new vehicle sales market in Sudan. We maintain our bearish forecast for Sudanese new car sales at just 6,500 new car sales in 2017 - up slightly from 4,000 cars expected to be sold in 2013. On the contrary, we see significant room for optimism for the autos market in South Sudan, thanks to its huge oil reserves, expanding population, large amount of arable land and proposed integration with other East African nations.

BMI Industry View 7

SWOT 8

Political 8

Economic 10

Business Environment 11

Industry Forecast 12

Sales 12

      Table: Sudan Automotives Historical Data & Forecasts 12

Macroeconomic Forecasts 17

      Table: Sudan - Economic Activity 20

Industry Risk Reward Ratings 21

Africa - Risk/Reward Ratings 21

      Table: Autos Risk/Reward Ratings Sub-Saharan Africa 24

Competitive Landscape 25

Company Profile 27

Company Monitor 27

Regional Overview 30

Automotive: Asian Brands Target First Mover Advantage 30

Sometimes It's Who You Know . 30

A Matter Of Price 32

Cars May Take Longer 33

Global Industry Overview 35

Global Overview 35

Demographic Forecast 39

      Table: Sudan's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 40

      Table: Sudan's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 41

      Table: Sudan's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 42

      Table: Sudan's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 42

Methodology 43

Industry Forecasts 43

Sector Specific Methodology 44

Sources 44

Risk Reward Rating Methodology 45

Sector Specific Methodology 46

      Table: Automotives Risk Reward Ratings Indicators 46

      Table: Weighting Of Indicators 47

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