In Ukraine, vehicle production increased 65% year-on-year (y-o-y) in the first five months of 2014, to 13,697 units. We attribute this recent surge to extremely low base effects and resurging exports. BMI does not expect this to continue over the course of 2014, however, as trade with Russia, Ukraine's largest export destination, is likely to be curtailed in the coming months on the back of ongoing political tensions.

BMI Industry View 7

SWOT 8

Political 9

Economic 10

Business Environment 11

Industry Forecast 12

Production And Sales 12

      Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Ukraine 2012-2018) 12

Production 13

Sales 14

Passenger Vehicles 15

      Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Ukraine 2012-2018) 15

Sales 16

      Table: Passenger Car Sales By Brand 17

Production 18

      Table: Passenger Car Production By Brand 19

Commercial Vehicles 20

      Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Ukraine 2012-2018) 20

Production 20

      Table: CV Production By Brand 21

Sales 21

      Table: CV Sales By Brand 22

Macroeconomic Forecasts 23

Economic Analysis 23

Risks To Outlook 26

      Table: Ukraine - Economic Activity 27

Industry Risk/Reward Ratings 28

Europe - Risk/Reward Ratings 28

      Table: Europe Industry Risk Rewards Ratings Table 32

Competitive Landscape 33

Company Profile 34

Honda Motor 34

AvtoKrAZ 36

AvtoZAZ 37

Regional Overview 39

Europe Overview 39

Global Industry Overview 42

      Table: Passenger Car Sales March 2014 42

European Growth Gathers Momentum 42

Japan Prepares For Tax Fallout 44

China Wobble Adds To BRIC Weakness 45

Demographic Forecast 48

      Table: Ukraine's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 49

      Table: Ukraine's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 50

      Table: Ukraine's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 51

      Table: Ukraine's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 51

Methodology 52

Industry Forecasts 52

Sector-Specific Methodology 53

Sources 53

Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 54

      Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators 55

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