Heightened political and macroeconomic risks are the main factors behind our poor outlook for new vehicle sales market in Sudan. We maintain our bearish forecast for Sudanese new car sales at just 6,890 new car sales in 2018 - up slightly from 4,000 cars expected to be sold in 2013.

BMI Industry View 7

SWOT 9

Political 9

Economic 11

Business Environment 12

Industry Forecast 13

Sales 13

      Table: Sudan Automotives Historical Data & Forecasts 13

Macroeconomic Forecasts 18

      Table: Sudan - Economic Activity 21

Industry Risk Reward Ratings 22

Africa - Risk Reward/Ratings 22

      Table: Autos Risk/Reward Ratings - Sub-Saharan Africa 25

Competitive Landscape 26

Company Profile 28

Company News Alert 28

      Table: Top 20 SSA Consumer Markets, 2013 29

Regional Overview 30

Africa: Fruits of Investment A Key Theme For 2014 30

      Competition Heats Up In Kenya 30

      Hubs Developing? 31

      Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Investment Projects 32

      Divergent Fortunes Of Nigeria And South Africa 33

Global Industry Overview 35

      Table: Passenger Car Sales November 2013 (CBUs) 35

Europe On Road To Recovery 35

Tax Hike Skews Japan's Outlook; US Hits Sweet 16 37

China Is BRIC Bright Spot 39

Demographic Forecast 42

      Table: Sudan's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 43

      Table: Sudan's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 44

      Table: Sudan's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 45

      Table: Sudan's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 45

Methodology 46

Industry Forecasts 46

Sector-Specific Methodology 47

Sources 47

Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 48

      Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators 49

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