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书名:United States Mining Report Q3 2014

责任者:Business Monitor International

出版时间:2014

出版社:Business Monitor International

分类号:矿业工程


摘要

We forecast stable though modest growth in the US mining industry through 2018, as we expect the bulk of mineral output and mining investment in the Americas region to occur in developing markets in Latin America. Still, we forecast the value of the industry to reach USD136bn in 2018, which we note is a substantial upgrade due to new government data. The country's stable economic and political environment, coupled with its long history of mining and mineral wealth, should enable sector expansion.

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目录

BMI Industry View 7

Permitting Process Mars Business Environment 8

SWOT 10

Industry Forecast 12

Coal: Domestic Troubles Ahead 12

      Sector To Remain Consolidated 13

      Table: United States - Main Coal Projects 14

      Export Demand Unlikely To Reverse Long-Term Decline 14

      Rising Gas Prices Provide Only Shorter-Term Upside 16

      Table: United States - Coal Production 18

Copper: Production To Slow 18

      Miners To Continue Exploration And Development 19

      Table: United States - Copper Mine Projects 19

      Environmental Considerations Pose Greatest Challenge To Industry 20

      Table: United States - Copper Production 21

Gold: Tepid Production Growth, But Investment To Continue 21

      Despite Company Woes, Barrick To Remain Top US Producer 22

      Table: Major Gold Projects In The United States 24

      Operational Risks To Remain 24

      Table: United States - Gold Production 24

Lead: US To Lose Global Market Share 25

      Table: United States - Lead Production 27

Industry Risk Reward Ratings 28

      Colombia & Chile Remain At The Top 29

      Table: Mining Risk/Reward Ratings 29

      Mexico & Peru See Improvement, While Brazil Falls Back 30

      Weak Prices & Poor Operating Environments Hold Others Back 31

Risk/Reward Ratings 31

      Rewards 31

      Industry Rewards 31

      Country Rewards 32

      Risks 32

      Industry Risks 32

      Country Risks 33

      Table: US - Mine Production & Growth 33

Regulatory Development 34

Recent Developments 34

Beyond Impending Coal Rules, Few Changes In Sight 34

      Table: Key US Mining Laws 35

Permitting Times Negatively Impact Greenfield Development 35

New Rules On Carbon Limits 35

Tax Regime 36

Corruption Minimal 36

      Table: US Political Overview 37

      Table: Regional Regulatory Table 37

Commodities Forecast 39

Commodity Strategy 39

      Iron Ore: Chinese Stimulus Not A Game Changer 39

      Steel: Gradual Rationalisation Insufficient To Boost Prices 41

      Aluminium: Recent Rally Unlikely To Persist Into H214 42

      Copper: Bearish Forecast Appears Well Placed 43

      Lead: Picking Up Autos Sector Tailwinds 44

      Nickel: Recent Rise To Fall Back In H214 45

      Zinc: Potential Test Of Resistance In Coming Weeks 47

      Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts 49

Competitive Landscape 50

Sector Consolidation To Continue 50

      Table: Financial Data For Key US Mining Firms 50

Production Driven By Domestic Market Needs 51

Company Profile 52

Freeport-McMoRan 52

      Company Strategy 54

      Latest Financial Results 55

      Financial Data 56

      Table: Freeport-McMoRan - Key Financial Data 56

      Address Details 56

Newmont Mining 57

      Company Strategy 58

      Recent Financial Data 59

      Financial Data 60

      Table: Newmont Mining - Key Financial Data 60

      Address Details 60

Peabody Energy 61

      Company Strategy 62

      Recent Financial Data 63

      Table: Peabody Energy: Key Financial Data 64

      Address Details 64

Regional Overview 65

Americas Overview 65

      1. Mexico & Peru To Outperform 65

      2. Potential Policy Impacts In The South 66

      Table: Americas - Regulatory Updates 67

      3. Downward Pressures On Capex To Persist 68

      4. North American Growth Opportunities To Remain Limited 69

      5. Central America & Caribbean To Lag Northern & Southern Neighbours 72

Global Industry Overview 74

Challenges 74

      Table: Mining - Select M&A Deals 78

Cause For Optimism 81

Methodology 88

Industry Forecast Methodology 88

Sources 89

Risk/Reward Rating Methodology 90

      Table: Weighting Of Indicators 92

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