The vehicle landscape in Uganda is dominated by used vehicles, imported primarily from Japan, as new vehicles remain unaffordable for most Ugandans. The most recent data released by the Ugandan Motor Industry Association show that newly registered vehicles are up 30.1% year-on-year (y-o-y) in the first 11 months of 2013. In light of this, an improving inflation and private consumption outlook, government commitment to developing 'productive infrastructure' and the development of Uganda's substantial oil reserves we have upgraded our forecasts over the 2014-2018 period.

BMI Industry View 7

SWOT 9

Political 9

Economic 11

Business Environment 13

Industry Forecast 14

      Table: Newly Registered Vehicles Units, 2011-2018 14

Macroeconomic Forecasts 20

Economic Analysis 20

      Table: Uganda - Economic Activity 25

Industry Risk Reward Ratings 26

Africa - Risk Reward/Ratings 26

      Table: Autos Risk/Reward Ratings - Sub-Saharan Africa 29

Competitive Landscape 30

Company Profile 36

Company Monitor 36

      Table: Top 20 SSA Consumer Markets, 2013 37

Regional Overview 38

Autos - Africa: Fruits of Investment A Key Theme For 2014 38

      Competition Heats Up In Kenya 38

      Hubs Developing? 40

      Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Investment Projects 40

      Divergent Fortunes Of Nigeria And South Africa 42

Global Industry Overview 43

      Table: Passenger Car Sales November 2013 (CBUs) 43

Europe On Road To Recovery 43

Tax Hike Skews Japan's Outlook; US Hits Sweet 16 45

China Is BRIC Bright Spot 47

Demographic Forecast 50

      Table: Uganda's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 51

      Table: Uganda's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 52

      Table: Uganda's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 53

      Table: Uganda's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 53

Methodology 54

Industry Forecasts 54

Sector-Specific Methodology 55

Sources 55

Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 56

      Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators 57

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