The outlook for South African new vehicle sales has deteriorated rapidly over the past quarter, with the wider domestic economy risking moving into recession, following the release of Q114 GDP figures, which showed a 0.6% contraction quarter-on-quarter (q-o-q).

BMI Industry View 7

SWOT 10

Political 12

Economic 13

Business Environment 14

Industry Forecast 15

Production And Sales 15

      Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (South Africa 2012-2018) 15

      Table: Motorcycle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (South Africa 2012-2018) 15

      Sales 15

      Production 18

Passenger Vehicles 21

      Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (South Africa 2012-2018) 21

Commercial Vehicles 23

      Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (South Africa 2012-2018) 23

Suppliers 26

Alternative Fuels 28

Macroeconomic Forecast 32

      Table: Real GDP Growth, % chg q-o-q, SAAR 32

      Table: South Africa - Economic Activity 36

Industry Risk/Reward Ratings 37

C2Sub-Saharan Africa Risk Reward Ratings 37

      Table: Autos Risk/Reward Ratings - Sub-Saharan Africa 40

Company Profile 41

Toyota South Africa 41

Mercedes-Benz South Africa 44

Volkswagen South Africa (VWSA) 46

General Motors South Africa (GMSA) 48

Nissan South Africa 50

Ford Motor South Africa 54

Regional Overview 56

Sub-Saharan Africa Overview 56

Global Industry Overview 65

      Table: Passenger Car Sales March 2014 65

European Growth Gathers Momentum 65

Japan Prepares For Tax Fallout 67

China Wobble Adds To BRIC Weakness 68

Demographic Forecast 71

Demographic Outlook 71

      Table: South Africa's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 72

      Table: South Africa's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 73

      Table: South Africa's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 74

      Table: South Africa's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 74

Methodology 75

Industry Forecasts 75

Sector-Specific Methodology 76

Sources 76

Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 77

      Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators 78

冶金工业信息标准研究院