The near-term outlook for South African new vehicle sales remains downbeat this quarter, with the local economy experiencing significant headwinds. As of end-August 2014, new vehicle sales were down by almost 16% year-on-year (y-o-y), at 372,526 units, according to information from the National Association of Automobile Manufacturers of South Africa (NAAMSA).

BMI Industry View 7

SWOT 10

Political 12

Economic 13

Business Environment 14

Industry Forecast 15

Production, Sales and Trade 15

      Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (South Africa 2012-2018) 15

      Table: Motorcycle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (South Africa 2012-2018) 15

      Sales 15

      Production 18

      Trade 21

Passenger Vehicles 23

      Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (South Africa 2012-2018) 23

      Table: South Africa - Top 10 Best-Selling Manufacturers, 8M14 24

Commercial Vehicles 26

      Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (South Africa 2012-2018) 26

Suppliers 31

Alternative Fuels 33

Macroeconomic Forecast 37

Expenditure Breakdown 37

Industry Risk/Reward Ratings 40

Africa Risk/Reward Ratings 40

      Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Autos Risk and Reward Ratings 43

Company Profile 44

Company Monitor 44

Toyota South Africa 47

Mercedes-Benz South Africa 50

Volkswagen South Africa (VWSA) 52

General Motors South Africa (GMSA) 54

Ford Motor South Africa 56

Regional Overview 58

Africa Overview 58

      Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Production Investments 58

Global Industry Overview 60

      Table: Passenger Car Sales May 2014 (CBUs) 60

Outperformers Boost European Outlook 60

Trucks Give North America A Lift 61

India Brings Relief To BRICs 63

Demographic Forecast 65

      Table: South Africa's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 66

      Table: South Africa's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 67

      Table: South Africa's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 68

      Table: South Africa's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 68

Methodology 69

Industry Forecasts 69

Sector-Specific Methodology 70

Sources 70

Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 71

      Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators 72

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