According to Association of Indonesian Automotive Industries (Gaikindo), domestic vehicle sales in March 2014 came in at 113,079 units, an increase of 17.8% year-on-year (y-o-y). Sales were boosted by the lowcost green car (LCGC) segment. This brought total Q114 sales to 328,354 units an increase of 10.9% y-o-y. For 2014, we forecast auto sales to grow 7.1%, to 1.32mn units.

BMI Industry View 7

SWOT 9

Political 10

Economic 12

Business Environment 14

Industry Forecast 15

      Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2012-2018) 15

      Sales 15

      Production 17

Passenger Cars 23

      Production 23

      Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2012-2018) 25

      Sales 25

Commercial Vehicles 35

      Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2012-2018) 35

Motorcycles 37

      Long-Term Forecasts 39

      Table: Motorcycle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2012-2018) 39

      Table: Sales Of Top Three Motorbike Manufacturers 40

Suppliers 41

Macroeconomic Forecast 49

Economic Analysis 49

      Table: Indonesia - Economic Activity 52

Industry Risk Reward Ratings 53

      Table: BMI Industry Risk/Reward Ratings - Asia-Pacific Autos 56

Company Profile 57

Company Monitor 57

Toyota Astra Motor 61

Suzuki Indomobil Motor 62

Regional Overview 63

Asia Regional Overview 63

      Table: Vehicle Sales March 2014 (Cbus) 63

Global Industry Overview 68

      Table: Passenger Car Sales March 2014 68

European Growth Gathers Momentum 68

Japan Prepares For Tax Fallout 70

China Wobble Adds To BRIC Weakness 71

Demographic Forecast 74

      Table: Indonesia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 75

      Table: Indonesia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 76

      Table: Indonesia's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 77

      Table: Indonesia's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 77

Methodology 78

Industry Forecasts 78

Sector-Specific Methodology 79

Sources 79

Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 80

      Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators 81

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