Rising political unrest and insecurity across Sudan represent a growing threat to economic activity and autos sales in the country. We maintain our bearish forecast for Sudanese new car sales at just 6,890 new car sales in 2018, up slightly from 4,600 cars expected to be sold in 2014.

BMI Industry View 7

SWOT 9

Political 9

Economic 11

Business Environment 12

Industry Forecast 13

Sales 13

      Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Sudan 2012-2018) 14

Macroeconomic Forecasts 18

Economic Analysis 18

      Table: Sudan - Economic Activity 21

Industry Risk Reward Ratings 22

      Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Autos Risk and Reward Ratings 25

Competitive Landscape 26

Company Profile 28

Company Monitor 28

Regional Overview 31

Autos Investment Round-Up: Export Potential Keeps Majors In South Africa 31

      Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Production Investments 31

Global Industry Overview 33

      Table: Passenger Car Sales May 2014 (CBUs) 33

Outperformers Boost European Outlook 33

Trucks Give North America A Lift 34

India Brings Relief To BRICs 36

Demographic Forecast 38

Sudan 38

      Table: Sudan's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 39

      Table: Sudan's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 40

      Table: Sudan's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 41

      Table: Sudan's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 41

Demographic Forecast 42

      Table: South Sudan's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 43

      Table: South Sudan's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 44

      Table: South Sudan's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 45

      Table: South Sudan's Urban And Rural Population, 1990-2020 45

Methodology 46

Industry Forecasts 46

Sector-Specific Methodology 47

Sources 47

Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 48

      Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators 49

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