Heightened political and macroeconomic risks are the main factors behind our poor outlook for new vehicle sales market in Sudan. We maintain our bearish forecast for Sudanese new car sales at just 6,890 new car sales in 2018 - up slightly from 4,000 cars expected to be sold in 2013.

BMI Industry View 5

SWOT 7

Political 7

Economic 9

Business Environment 10

Industry Forecast 11

Sales 11

      Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2012-2018 12

Macroeconomic Forecasts 17

      Table: Sudan - Economic Activity 20

Industry Risk Reward Ratings 21

      Table: Autos Risk/Reward Ratings - Sub-Saharan Africa 24

Competitive Landscape 25

Company Profile 27

Company Monitor 27

Regional Overview 30

Global Industry Overview 38

      Table: Passenger Car Sales March 2014 38

European Growth Gathers Momentum 38

Japan Prepares For Tax Fallout 40

China Wobble Adds To BRIC Weakness 41

Demographic Forecast 44

      Table: Sudan's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 45

      Table: Sudan's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 46

      Table: Sudan's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 47

      Table: Sudan's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 47

Methodology 48

Industry Forecasts 48

Sector-Specific Methodology 49

Sources 49

Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 50

      Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators 51

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