The most recent data released by the Ugandan Motor Industry Association show that newly registered vehicles are up 30.1% year-on-year (y-o-y) in the first 11 months of 2013. In light of this, an improving inflation and private consumption outlook, government commitment to improving 'productive infrastructure' and the development of Uganda's substantial oil reserves, we have upgraded our forecasts over the 2014-2018 period. However, based on the re-introduction of the Pre-Export Verification of Conformity, which is likely to raise prices for consumers, we expect growth for 2014-2015 to be lower.

BMI Industry View 5

SWOT 7

Political 7

Economic 9

Business Environment 11

Industry Forecast 12

      Table: Autos Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (2012-2018) 12

      Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (2012-2018) 12

      Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (2012-2018) 12

      Table: Motorcycle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (2012-2018) 13

Macroeconomic Forecasts 19

      Table: Uganda - Economic Activity 24

Industry Risk Reward Ratings 25

      Table: Autos Risk/Reward Ratings - Sub-Saharan Africa 28

Competitive Landscape 29

Company Profile 35

Company Monitor 35

Regional Overview 38

Global Industry Overview 46

      Table: Passenger Car Sales March 2014 46

European Growth Gathers Momentum 46

Japan Prepares For Tax Fallout 48

China Wobble Adds To BRIC Weakness 49

Demographic Forecast 52

      Table: Uganda's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 53

      Table: Uganda's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 54

      Table: Uganda's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 55

      Table: Uganda's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 55

Methodology 56

Industry Forecasts 56

Sector-Specific Methodology 57

Sources 57

Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 58

      Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators 59

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