Over the past quarter, the last two manufacturers producing cars in Australia - Toyota Australia and General Motors' (GM) Holden subsidiary - both announced that they would be ending car and vehicle engine manufacturing operations in Australia by 2017. As such, BMI has now revised down its vehicle production forecasts.

BMI Industry View 7

SWOT 9

Political 11

Economic 12

Business Environment 13

Industry Forecast 15

      Table: Australia - Sales, 2010-2018 15

Production 17

      Table: Australia Autos Production, 2010-2018* 17

      Table: Australia - Monthly Vehicle Production 2008-2012 19

Trade 20

      Table: Australia Autos Trade, 2010-2018 20

Passenger Vehicles 22

      Table: Australia - Top 10 Best-Selling Manufacturers 2013 22

Commercial Vehicles 24

Electric Vehicles 24

Motorcycles 26

      Table: Australia - Top 10 Best-Selling Motorcycle Manufacturers 2012 27

Suppliers 29

Macroeconomic Forecasts 33

Ongoing Misallocation Of Capital Increases Risks 35

Increasing Pressures For Greater Macro-Prudential Rules 36

      Table: Australia - Economic Activity 38

Industry Risk/Reward Ratings 39

Asia Pacific - Risk/Reward Ratings 39

      Table: Asia Pacific Autos Risk/Reward Ratings 42

Company Profile 43

Company Monitor 43

Ford Motor 46

GM Holden 48

Toyota Motor 50

Regional Overview 52

      Table: Vehicle Sales 2013 (CBUS) 52

Global Industry Overview 57

      Table: Passenger Car Sales November 2013 (CBUs) 57

Europe On Road To Recovery 57

Tax Hike Skews Japan's Outlook; US Hits Sweet 16 59

China Is BRIC Bright Spot 61

Demographic Forecast 64

Demographic Outlook 64

      Table: Australia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 65

      Table: Australia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 66

      Table: Australia's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 67

      Table: Australia's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 67

Methodology 68

Industry Forecasts 68

Sector-Specific Methodology 69

Sources 69

Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 70

      Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators 71

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