Political stability will improve under the president, Hery Rajaonarimampianina, and the democratically elected government, although the risks are significant.
There is a risk that hardline supporters of Marc Ravalomanana, the former president who recently returned from exile, could withdraw their backing for the current president if the ex-president remains under house arrest.

Summary 7

Basic data 8

Political structure 9

Economic structure 10

Annual indicators 10

Quarterly indicators 11

Comparative economic indicators 12

Outlook for 2015-16 13

Political outlook 13

Economic policy outlook 14

Economic forecast 16

Recent analysis 19

Politics 19

Economy 21

International assumptions summary 16

Forecast summary 18

Foreign trade 11

Foreign reserves 11

Gross domestic product 18

Consumer price inflation 18

中国科学技术信息研究所