书名：Country report. Equatorial Guinea, Sao Tome and Principe, Guinea-Bissau, Cabo Verde
出版时间：2015
出版社：Economist Intelligence Unit
摘要
The main threat to political stability in 2015-19 is the risk of the elderly president, Teodoro Obiang Nguema Mbasogo, leaving office suddenly, owing to either ill health or a coup, which could create a destabilising power contest.
The lack of political freedoms will continue to trigger resentment among regime critics. However, firm control of the security forces means that the president will maintain overwhelming influence over the political scene.
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目录
Highlights 7
Political outlook 8
Economic policy outlook 10
Economic forecast 11
Annual data and forecast 15
Quarterly data 16
Monthly data 17
Annual trends charts 18
Monthly trends charts 19
Comparative economic indicators 20
Basic data 21
Political structure 22
Politics 23
Economy 25
Summary 34
Basic data 35
Political structure 36
Economic structure 37
Annual indicators 37
Quarterly indicators 38
Comparative economic indicators 39
Outlook for 2015-16 40
Political outlook 40
Economic policy outlook 41
Economic forecast 43
Recent analysis 46
Politics 46
Economy 50
International assumptions summary 43
Forecast summary 45
Exchange rate 38
Foreign trade 38
Gross domestic product 45
Consumer price inflation 45
Summary 58
Basic data 59
Political structure 60
Economic structure 61
Annual indicators 61
Quarterly indicators 62
Outlook for 2015-16 63
Political outlook 63
Economic policy outlook 64
Economic forecast 66
Recent analysis 69
Economy 69
International assumptions summary 66
Forecast summary 68
Foreign trade 62
Foreign reserves 62
Gross domestic product 68
Consumer price inflation 68
Summary 76
Basic data 77
Political structure 78
Economic structure 79
Annual indicators 79
Quarterly indicators 80
Comparative economic indicators 81
Outlook for 2015-16 82
Political outlook 82
Economic policy outlook 83
Economic forecast 84
Recent analysis 88
Politics 88
Economy 90
International assumptions summary 84
Forecast summary 87
Exchange rate 80
Foreign reserves 80
Gross domestic product 87
Consumer price inflation 87
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