North Korea's leader, Kim Jong-un, will seek to consolidate his power base by purging those deemed critical of the regime. This has included the execution of a number of high-ranking officials in recent months.
Although this may indicate the growing confidence of Kim Jong-un, it will disturb a delicate balance of power between competing interest groups in the country's three most powerful institutions: the cabinet, army and party.

Summary 7

Basic data 8

Political structure 9

Economic structure 10

Annual indicators 10

Outlook for 2015-16 11

Political outlook 11

Democracy index 13

Economic policy outlook 14

Economic forecast 15

Recent analysis 18

Politics 18

Economy 23

International assumptions summary 15

Forecast summary 17

中国科学技术信息研究所