The president, Idriss Deby, who has been at the helm since 1990 and has consolidated his control over the political system, will remain in power throughout the forecast period, easily securing re-election in 2016.
The major risks to security and stability stem from a volatile regional context, with persistent insecurity along Chad's porous borders and a regional spread of armed Islamist activism, especially from Nigeria.

Summary 7

Basic data 8

Political structure 9

Economic structure 10

Annual indicators 10

Quarterly indicators 11

Comparative economic indicators 12

Outlook for 2015-16 13

Political outlook 13

Economic policy outlook 14

Economic forecast 15

Recent analysis 19

Politics 19

Economy 23

International assumptions summary 15

Forecast summary 18

Foreign trade 11

Foreign reserves 11

Gross domestic product 18

Consumer price inflation 18

Summary 32

Basic data 33

Political structure 34

Economic structure 35

Annual indicators 35

Quarterly indicators 36

Outlook for 2015-16 37

Political outlook 37

Economic policy outlook 39

Economic forecast 40

Recent analysis 43

Politics 43

Economy 50

International assumptions summary 40

Forecast summary 42

Foreign trade 36

Foreign reserves 36

Gross domestic product 42

Consumer price inflation 42

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