The Economist Intelligence Unit expects the UAE federation to remain stable in the forecast period. A transfer of power in Abu Dhabi from the current ruler to the crown prince may occur.
Domestic calls for greater political plurality, mainly from the poorer northern emirates, may increase. However, any such requests will be suppressed, as is evident from the arrest and conviction of activists in 2012-14.

Highlights 7

Political outlook 8

Democracy index 9

Economic policy outlook 11

Economic forecast 12

Annual data and forecast 16

Quarterly data 17

Monthly data 18

Annual trends charts 19

Monthly trends charts 20

Comparative economic indicators 21

Basic data 22

Political structure 23

Politics 24

Economy 40

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