Weak government control and a lack of effective political mforms mean that
armed rebellions in eastern Democratic Republic of Congo(DRC)will
continue to undermine stability．
The president，Joseph Kabila，and his allies will maintain their domination
over formal poHfics，but tensions with the opposition will rise in the run—up
to the 2016 elections．Violent conffontations cannot be ruled out．

Summary 7

Basic data 8

Political structure 9

Economic structure 10

Annual indicators 10

Quarterly indicators 11

Outlook for 2014-15 12

Political outlook 12

Economic policy outlook 13

Economic forecast 15

Recent analysis 18

Politics 18

Economy 29

International assumptions summary 15

Forecast summary 17

Gross domestic product 17

Consumer price inflation 17

中国科学技术信息研究所