The ruling Conseil national pour la defense de la democratie—Forces pour la
defense de la democratie(CNDD—FDD)and the president，Pierre Nkurunziza，
will continue to dominate the political scene．
Despite resistance from the opposition,Mr Nkurunziza is likely to stand for a
third presidential term in 2015 Coy changing or circumventing the
constitutional term limit)and to win the election comfortably．

Summary 7

Basic data 8

Political structure 9

Economic structure 10

Annual indicators 10

Quarterly indicators 11

Comparative economic indicators 12

Outlook for 2014-15 13

Political outlook 13

Economic policy outlook 15

Economic forecast 16

Recent analysis 19

Politics 19

Economy 23

International assumptions summary 16

Forecast summary 18

Exchange rates 11

Consumer prices 11

Gross domestic product 18

Consumer price inflation 18

中国科学技术信息研究所