Political stability in Afghanistan will remain pool with an ongoing
campaign of insurgency bY various groups，notably the Taliban．
The transfer of security responsibility to local forces will be completed in
2014．with most international troops expected to withdraw by the end of
this year．

Summary 7

Basic data 8

Political structure 9

Economic structure 10

Annual indicators 10

Quarterly indicators 11

Outlook for 2014-15 12

Political outlook 12

Economic policy outlook 14

Economic forecast 16

Recent analysis 18

Politics 18

Economy 21

International assumptions summary 16

Consumer prices 11

Exchange rate 11

Gross domestic product 17

Consumer price inflation 17

中国科学技术信息研究所