Divisions are emerging within the Georgian Dream coalition, and between the government and president These are likely to become more pronounced in 2015-16, which will undermine the effectiveness of the coalition.
The departure of Our Georgia-Free Democrats has increased the influence of more conservative factions within the coalition. The government's agenda may be less pro-Western and could become increasingly illiberal.

Summary 7

Basic data 8

Political structure 9

Economic structure 10

Annual indicators 10

Quarterly indicators 11

Comparative economic indicators 12

Outlook for 2015-16 13

Political outlook 13

Economic policy outlook 15

Economic forecast 16

Recent analysis 19

Politics 19

Economy 29

International assumptions summary 16

Forecast summary 18

Gross domestic product 18

Consumer price inflation 18

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