The Economist Intelligence Unit。s baseline assumption is that Russia will not
undertake an all—out invasion of eastern Ukraine．However,it will continue to
provide support to the insurgency to prevent a victory for Ukrainian forces．
The EU plans to introduce further sanctions against Russia；these are likely to
be limited in scope．The conflict in eastern Ukraine and the annexation of
Crimea will create lasting tensions with the West．

Highlights 7

Political outlook 8

Economic policy outlook 10

Economic forecast 11

Annual data and forecast 16

Quarterly data 17

Monthly data 18

Annual trends charts 20

Quarterly trends charts 21

Monthly trends charts 22

Comparative economic indicators 23

Basic data 24

Political structure 25

Politics 26

Economy 45

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