The president, Isaias Afewerki, and his People's Front for Democracy and Justice will continue to exert control over the political scene. Opposition activity outside the country, although still largely ineffectual, is likely to pick up.
A steady stream of Eritreans will continue to flee the country and UN Security Council sanctions on Eritrea, imposed in 2009 and 2011 in response to the country's role in destabilising the region, are likely to remain in place.

Summary 7

Basic data 8

Political structure 9

Economic structure 10

Annual indicators 10

Quarterly indicators 11

Comparative economic indicators 12

Outlook for 2015-16 13

Political outlook 13

Democracy index 15

Economic policy outlook 16

Economic forecast 17

Recent analysis 21

Politics 21

Economy 23

International assumptions summary 17

Forecast summary 19

Gross domestic product 20

Consumer price inflation 20

Summary 33

Basic data 34

Political structure 35

Economic structure 36

Annual indicators 36

Outlook for 2015-16 37

Political outlook 37

Economic forecast 39

Recent analysis 42

Politics 42

Economy 48

Summary 52

Basic data 53

Political structure 54

Economic structure 55

Annual indicators 55

Quarterly indicators 56

Outlook for 2015-16 57

Political outlook 57

Democracy index 59

Economic policy outlook 60

Economic forecast 62

Recent analysis 64

Politics 64

Economy 66

Forecast summary 63

Foreign reserves 56

Foreign trade 56

Gross domestic product 63

Consumer price inflation 63

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