The president, Faure Gnassingbe, and his ruling party, the Union pour la republique (UNIR), will continue to dominate the political landscape.
Togo's fragmented opposition is unlikely to threaten the UNIR's hegemony, but the risk of social unrest will increase in the lead-up to the presidential election in 2015, which Mr Gnassingbe is likely to win, securing a third term.

Summary 7

Basic data 8

Political structure 9

Economic structure 10

Annual indicators 10

Quarterly indicators 11

Comparative economic indicators 12

Outlook for 2015-16 13

Political outlook 13

Economic policy outlook 14

Economic forecast 16

Recent analysis 19

Politics 19

Economy 21

International assumption 16

Forecast summary 18

Exchange rate 11

Foreign reserves 11

Gross domestic product 18

Consumer price inflation 18

Summary 29

Basic data 30

Political structure 31

Economic structure 32

Annual indicators 32

Quarterly indicators 33

Comparative economic indicators 34

Outlook for 2015-16 35

Political outlook 35

Economic policy outlook 36

Economic forecast 38

Recent analysis 41

Politics 41

Economy 44

International assumptions summary 38

Forecast summary 40

Exchange rate 33

Foreign reserves 33

Gross domestic product 40

Consumer price inflation 40

中国科学技术信息研究所