The Economist Intelligence Unit expects the government coalition of the centrist Progressive Party (PP) and the centre-right Independence Party (IP) to remain in office during 2015-16, and beyond.
The government has withdrawn its accession application to the EU without a referendum. We expect this decision to hold over the forecast period, despite public uproar.

Summary 7

Basic data 8

Political structure 9

Economic structure 10

Annual indicators 10

Quarterly indicators 11

Comparative economic indicators 12

Outlook for 2015-16 13

Political outlook 13

Economic policy outlook 14

Economic forecast 16

Recent analysis 19

Economy 19

International assumptions summary 16

Forecast summary 18

Gross domestic product 18

Consumer price inflation 18

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