The president, Alpha Conde, is likely to be re-elected in 2015, and his Rassemblement du peuple de Guinee will remain in power over the remainder of the forecast period.
Political stability remains fragile. Key tests will be reconciling ethnic groups, reforming the military and managing expectations over living standards.

Summary 7

Basic data 8

Political structure 9

Economic structure 10

Annual indicators 10

Quarterly indicators 11

Comparative economic indicators 12

Outlook for 2015-16 13

Political outlook 13

Economic policy outlook 14

Economic forecast 16

Recent analysis 19

Politics 19

Economy 24

International assumptions summary 16

Forecast summary 18

Gross domestic product 18

Consumer price inflation 18

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