The Economist Intelligence Unit expects the president, Rafael Correa, and his Alianza Pais (AP) movement, in office since 2007, to continue to dominate the political scene until and beyond the 2017 presidential election.
Real GDP growth is expected to average 44% in 2015-19. Stronger oil output from 2016 will boost growth, but softer oil prices will be a constraint.
The non-financial public-sector deficit will expand to 5.2% of GDP in 2015 as weaker oil prices affect revenue.

Highlights 7

Political outlook 8

Economic policy outlook 9

Economic forecast 11

Annual data and forecast 15

Quarterly data 16

Monthly data 17

Annual trends charts 18

Monthly trends charts 19

Comparative economic indicators 20

Basic data 21

Political structure 22

Politics 23

Economy 35

中国科学技术信息研究所