The governor, Alejandro Garcia Padilla of the Partido Popular Democratico, will benefit from his party's control of Congress, but a slump in popular support will complicate governability.
The fiscal outlook will remain poor following a downgrade of the island's credit rating earlier in the year, but the government has committed to a balanced budget and a comprehensive tax reform.
The economy is expected to remain in recession in 2015, after which it should return to modest growth. Dampening the outlook are a declining manufacturing sector, a fall in population and high unemployment.

Summary 7

Basic data 8

Political structure 9

Economic structure 10

Annual indicators 10

Quarterly indicators 11

Outlook for 2015-16 12

Political outlook 12

Economic policy outlook 13

Economic forecast 14

Recent analysis 18

Politics 18

Economy 20

International assumptions summary 14

Forecast summary 16

Gross national product 17

Consumer price inflation 17

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