The president, Islam Karimov, is likely to stand again in the presidential election set for March 31st 2015. If he does so, he will win.
We expect the authorities to stick to their crawling-peg exchange-rate regime. This will hamper exports, and cut foreign-currency inflows and reserves.
Improved external demand and prices will see the economy continue to expand from 2016, albeit at a slowing rate. The Economist Intelligence Unit forecasts an annual average rate of real GDP growth of 5.6% in 2016-19.

Highlights 7

Political outlook 8

Democracy index 10

Economic policy outlook 11

Economic forecast 12

Annual data and forecast 16

Quarterly data 17

Monthly data 18

Annual trends charts 19

Monthly trends charts 20

Comparative economic indicators 21

Basic data 22

Political structure 23

Politics 24

Economy 29

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