A political crisis involving the proroguing of the legislature will continue to simmer even after mid-2015 elections. The ruling People's Progressive Party/Civic (PPP/C) is expected to regain a legislative majority.
Regardless of which party wins the election, the next administration will continue to face huge difficulties in implementing its agenda, adding substantial uncertainty to the political outlook.

Summary 7

Basic data 8

Political structure 9

Economic structure 10

Annual indicators 10

Quarterly indicators 11

Comparative economic indicators 12

Outlook for 2015-16 13

Political outlook 13

Economic policy outlook 14

Economic forecast 15

Recent analysis 17

Politics 17

Economy 22

International assumptions summary 15

Forecast summary 16

Gross domestic product 16

Consumer price inflation 16

Summary 30

Basic data 31

Political structure 32

Economic structure 33

Annual indicators 33

Quarterly indicators 34

Outlook for 2015-16 35

Political outlook 35

Economic policy outlook 36

Economic forecast 37

Recent analysis 40

Economy 40

Gross domestic product 39

Consumer price inflation 39

Summary 44

Basic data 45

Political structure 46

Economic structure 47

Annual indicators 47

Quarterly indicators 48

Comparative economic indicators 49

Outlook for 2015-16 50

Political outlook 50

Economic policy outlook 51

Economic forecast 53

Recent analysis 56

Politics 56

Economy 58

International assumptions summary 53

Forecast summary 55

Gross domestic product 55

Consumer price inflation 55

中国科学技术信息研究所