The Democratic Party of Socialists (DPS) retains its dominant role following its victory in a pre-term election in October 2012 and the May 2014 local elections, but faces an increasingly restive opposition.
The Economist Intelligence Unit forecasts that after slowing to an estimated 2% in 2014, real GDP growth will average 3% per year in 2015-16.
The current-account deficit is forecast to expand from an estimated 16.6% of GDP in 2014 to 19.7% of GDP in 2015 and 17.7% of GDP in 2016.

Summary 7

Basic data 8

Political structure 9

Economic structure 10

Annual indicators 10

Omparative economic indicators 11

Outlook for 2015-16 12

Political outlook 12

Economic policy outlook 14

Economic forecast 15

Recent analysis 18

Politics 18

Economy 19

International assumptions summary 15

Forecast summary 17

Gross domestic product 17

Consumer price inflation 17

中国科学技术信息研究所