Hassan Rowhani, the moderate president, will try to keep Iran on a less confrontational path with the international community and will maintain a constructive relationship with the supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.
Inflation will continue to ease, as a result of tighter fiscal and monetary policy and weak demand, but will remain high given further subsidy reforms and exchange-rate weakness.
A still substantial divergence between the official exchange rate and market rates points to the risk of further significant devaluation while sanctions continue to hobble the economy in the context of lower oil prices.

Highlights 7

Political outlook 8

Democracy index 10

Economic policy outlook 11

Economic forecast 12

Annual data and forecast 16

Quarterly data 17

Monthly data 18

Annual trends charts 19

Monthly trends charts 20

Comparative economic indicatorsc 21

Basic data 22

Political structure 23

Politics 24

Economy 51

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