A general election is due by September 2015. Polls suggest a close contest between the People's Partnership coalition, led by the prime minister, Kamla Persad-Bissessar, and the People's National Movement party of Keith Rowley.
Interest rates will rise gradually in line with tightening by the Federal Reserve (the US central bank) over the forecast period.
The current-account surplus is expected to narrow in 2015, reflecting lower energy prices, before rising again over the forecast period Reserves levels will remain comfortable.

Highlights 7

Political outlook 8

Democracy index 9

Economic policy outlook 10

Economic forecast 12

Annual data and forecast 16

Quarterly data 17

Monthly data 18

Annual trends charts 19

Monthly trends charts 20

Comparative economic indicators 21

Basic data 22

Political structure 23

Politics 24

Economy 27

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