At the snap general election in September 2012, voters returned to the political centre, boosting political stability. That said, the coalition government has been more unstable and less effective than many voters had anticipated.following estimated real GDP growth of 0.8% in 2014. we expect only a (modest acceleration to 0.9% in 2015. We see growth averaging 1.7% in 2016-19.
After inflation (EU harmonised measure) of 0.3% in 2014, we expect an outturn of -0.2% in 2015, as the decline in energy costs continues to affect consumer prices. We see inflation averaging 1.3% in 2016-19.

Highlights 7

Political outlook 8

Democracy index 9

Economic policy outlook 11

Economic forecast 12

Annual data and forecast 17

Quarterly data 18

Monthly data 19

Annual trends charts 21

Quarterly trends charts 22

Monthly trends charts 23

Comparative economic indicators 24

Basic data 25

Political structure 26

Politics 27

Economy 32

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