A snap election in July was won by the recently formed Party of Miro Cerar (SMC), which created a centre-left coalition with the Democratic Party of Slovenian Pensioners (DeSUS) and the centre-left Social Democrats (SD).
We forecast annual average growth of 1.9% in 2015-16 as domestic demand is weighed down by fiscal adjustment. Growth will pick up in 2017-19, driven by export growth and a rise in private consumption.
We estimate a current-account surplus of 5.9% of GDP in 2014, and forecast that the current account will remain in surplus in 2015-19.

Highlights 7

Political outlook 8

Democracy index 10

Economic policy outlook 11

Economic forecast 14

Annual data and forecast 18

Quarterly data 19

Monthly data 20

Annual trends charts 22

Quarterly trends charts 23

Monthly trends charts 24

Comparative economic indicators 25

Basic data 26

Political structure 27

Politics 28

Economy 32

中国科学技术信息研究所