The Economist Intelligence Unit expects the UAE federation to remain stable in the forecast period. A transfer of power in Abu Dhabi from the current ruler to the crown prince may occur.
Real GDP growth will be driven by increasing non-oil activity, as well as small further gains in oil production following investment in capacity expansion. We forecast average annual growth of 4% in 2015-19.
We expect official inflation to remain manageable in 2015-19, averaging 3.1% a year, in line with global non-oil commodity prices, strong domestic demand and increasing housing costs.

Highlights 7

Political outlook 8

Economic policy outlook 9

Economic forecast 11

Annual data and forecast 15

Quarterly data 16

Monthly data 17

Annual trends charts 18

Monthly trends charts 19

Comparative economic indicators 20

Basic data 21

Political structure 22

Politics 23

Economy 34

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