The president, Otto Perez Molina of the right-wing Partido Patriota (PP), is constitutionally barred from running in the September 2015 elections. Little legislative progress will be made in the remainder of his term.
Fiscal revenue collection will remain very weak in 2015-19, hindered by widespread tax evasion and a large informal economy, but public debt levels Will be stable as the government is forced to limit spending.
Guatemala's relatively small economy and limited exposure to portfolio inflows will shield the currency from sharp changes in investor confidence. The quetzal is set to depreciate gradually, to reach Q8:US$1 by end-2019.

Highlights 7

Political outlook 8

Democracy index 9

Economic policy outlook 10

Economic forecast 12

Annual data and forecast 16

Quarterly data 17

Monthly data 18

Annual trends charts 20

Monthly trends charts 21

Comparative economic indicators 22

Basic data 23

Political structure 24

Politics 25

Economy 37

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