The emir will remain the ultimate political authority, but he will face pressure' from the opposition to implement constitutional reforms, as well as sporadic public protests.
Inflation will average 2.4% in 2015, picking up to an annual average of 3.9% in 2016-19 on the back of higher domestic demand growth.
The current-account balance will fluctuate in line with oil price changes but is expected to remain in surplus, averaging 21.6% of GDP annually in 2015-19.

Highlights 7

Political outlook 8

Democracy index 9

Economic policy outlook 11

Economic forecast 13

Annual data and forecast 16

Quarterly data 17

Monthly data 18

Annual trends charts 19

Monthly trends charts 20

Comparative economic indicators 21

Basic data 22

Political structure 23

Politics 24

Economy 33

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