In line with recent polls and a darkening economic outlook, The Economist Intelligence Unit forecasts that the Liberals will win the next election, scheduled for October, and that Justin Trudeau will become prime minister.
Policy priorities will include achieving a fiscal surplus, mainly through spending restraint, promoting energy projects, and expanding trade and investment links to reduce dependence on the US market.

Highlights 7

Political outlook 8

Democracy index 10

Economic policy outlook 11

Economic forecast 13

Annual data and forecast 17

Quarterly data 18

Monthly data 19

Annual trends charts 21

Quarterly trends charts 22

Monthly trends charts 23

Comparative economic indicators 24

Basic data 25

Political structure 26

Politics 27

Economy 33

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