Sluggish economic growth and a spate of chronic political scandals will add to the challenges facing the president, Ollanta Humala, including a fall in his popularity. However, risks to governability will be contained.
We expect the public finances, bolstered by a series of fiscal responsibility measures, to be prudently managed, leading to a further reduction in the public debt/GDP ratio, to just 16.7% of GDP by 2019.
Falling export receipts will keep the current-account deficit wide in 2015, at 4.6% of GDP. A gradual pick-up in mining exports and a falling income deficit will narrow the current-account deficit to 2.8% of GDP by 2019.

Highlights 7

Political outlook 8

Democracy index 9

Economic policy outlook 11

Economic forecast 12

Annual data and forecast 16

Quarterly data 17

Monthly data 18

Annual trends charts 20

Monthly trends charts 21

Comparative economic indicators 22

Basic data 23

Political structure 24

Politics 25

Economy 41

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