The Social Democratic Party (SDP)-led administration, which no longer includes the Hungarian Union of Democrats in Romania (HUDR), is likely to survive in the short term, but its majority may be eroded by defections.
The Economist Intelligence Unit expects patchy progress on structural reform under the stand-by arrangement with the IMF, which runs until end-September 2015.
After recording a deficit equivalent to an estimated 0.5% of GDP in 2014, the current account is expected to register a deficit amounting to 1.9% of GDP on average in 2015-19.

Highlights 7

Political outlook 8

Democracy index 9

Economic policy outlook 11

Economic forecast 13

Annual data and forecast 16

Quarterly data 17

Monthly data 18

Annual trends charts 20

Monthly trends charts 21

Comparative economic indicators 22

Basic data 23

Political structure 24

Economy 30

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