The swift formation of the new government in April 2014 set some positive political precedents. The main aims of the prime minister, Djoomart Otorbaev, are to attract investment, ensure security and tackle corruption.
The budget deficit is estimated to have widened in 2014 due to lower global gold prices and the US withdrawal from the Manas airbase. An improved economic performance in 2016 will narrow the deficit to 0.5% of GDP.
The current-account deficit is estimated at 23.8% of GDP in 2014. Although the deficit will gradually narrow in 2015-16, it will still remain large, rendering the economy vulnerable to economic shocks.

Summary 7

Basic data 8

Political structure 9

Economic structure 10

Annual indicators 10

Quarterly indicators 11

Comparative economic indicators 12

Outlook for 2015-16 13

Political outlook 13

Economic policy outlook 14

Economic forecast 16

Recent analysis 19

Politics 19

Economy 20

International assumptions summary 16

Forecast summary 18

Gross domestic product 18

Consumer price inflation 18

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