Lebanon's government balances the competing March 8th and March 14th political factions, along with a neutral bloc. This inherent instability will impair the coherence of policymaking during the forecast period.
Lebanon's services-oriented economy will suffer from the instability within and on its borders, but with businesses adjusting to the collapse in Syria, growth will pick up in the latter part of the forecast period.
The public finances, though improving modestly, will remain firmly in deficit. Debt service will remain a burden, accounting for one-third of spending.
The current account will remain heavily in deficit, with exports hampered by civil war in Syria. Large capital inflows will help cover external shortfalls.

Highlights 7

Political outlook 8

Democracy index 10

Economic policy outlook 11

Economic forecast 13

Annual data and forecast 16

Quarterly data 17

Monthly data 18

Annual trends charts 20

Monthly trends charts 21

Comparative economic indicators 22

Basic data 23

Political structure 24

Politics 25

Economy 36

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