The Social Democratic Party (SDP)-led administration, in which the Hungarian Union of Democrats in Romania (HUDR) replaces the National Liberal Party (NLP), is likely to survive, at least in the short term.
The Economist Intelligence Unit expects patchy progress on structural reform under the stand-by arrangement with the IMF and does not expect another agreement after this expires in March 2015.
After recording a deficit equivalent to an estimated 24% of GDP in 2014, we forecast that the annual current-account deficit will average 5.7% of GDP in 2015-19.

Highlights 7

Political outlook 8

Economic policy outlook 9

Economic forecast 11

Annual data and forecast 15

Quarterly data 16

Monthly data 17

Annual trends charts 19

Monthly trends charts 20

Comparative economic indicators 21

Basic data 22

Political structure 23

Politics 24

Economy 38

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