The president, Ilham Aliyev, will face a more challenging third term, as slower economic growth will increase the pressure for economic reform and raise the risk of social unrest.
Tensions with Armenia will remain high, owing to the long-running dispute over Nagorny Karabakh. Despite intermittent talks between the foreign ministers and presidents of Armenia and Azerbaijan, it is very unlikely that a resolution will be reached in the forecast period.

Country forecast overview 6

Highlights 6

Business environment rankings 7

Fact sheet 8

Outlook for 2015-19 9

Political outlook 9

Economic policy outlook 10

Economic forecast 12

Data summary 14

Data sources and definitions 19

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